Geopolitical analysis
Well-researched, in-depth analysis of the power struggles that shape our world: who wants what, why it matters, and what could happen next. Every analysis comes with its maps and every source.
Latest analysis
Asia-Pacific12 min read
In 2025, about three-quarters of China's seaborne crude passed one narrow strait shared by three other countries. Beijing has spent two decades building ways around it. The 2026 oil shock showed how far it has got, and why the strait is no simple off switch.
Read the analysisEurope10 min read
US intelligence says Russia keeps about two-thirds of its nuclear second strike on the Kola Peninsula, a short drive from Norway. Geography ties that insurance to a NATO neighbour, and both sides are now lifting the restraints that kept the border quiet.
Europe10 min read
Germany now spends more on defence than any other European NATO member, and its chancellor has promised Europe's strongest conventional army. The money has arrived. The soldiers, the speed and the trust have not.
Europe10 min read
Several Western intelligence services now warn less of a Russian invasion than of a small, deniable test of NATO's promise to defend every ally. That changes which country could come first.
Americas10 min read
In January, American forces captured Nicolás Maduro. Nine months later, his own deputy runs Venezuela with Washington's backing, the oil money flows through US-controlled accounts, and no election date has been set.
Europe10 min read
Ukraine's drones keep hitting Russia's oil industry, even after Donald Trump called the strikes a disgrace. What do they cost Moscow, why does Washington want them stopped, and are they really behind the world's diesel shortage?
Middle East10 min read
A NATO member and a nuclear-armed state have promised to defend Saudi soil. Here is what the Mecca pact says, why it went live in October 2026, what Turkey and Pakistan will and won't do, and who is watching.
On YouTube
On YouTube we take one flashpoint at a time and follow it across the map: the players, their strategies, and what could happen next.
